dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. But let's think about this some more. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Part of HuffPost Wellness. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." On one try. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Step 4. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. I hope you use your chance well. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Then the probability of Mr. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Even if they couldn't read them yet. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Now things start getting interesting. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. This button displays the currently selected search type. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. You can start the series by clicking HERE. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Step 1. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. You may think You say that to everyone!. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. dr ali binazir odds of being born Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Were all winners in life without doing anything! And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Onward to freedom! Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. What are the odds of that? That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have.
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